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Town Ray Holdings' (HKG:1692) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Town Ray Holdings' (HKG:1692) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Town Ray Holdings(HKG: 1692)的軟收益實際上比看起來要好
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 19:37

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Town Ray Holdings Limited's (HKG:1692) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

股東們似乎對天瑞控股有限公司(HKG: 1692)上週表現乏善可陳的收益報告漠不關心。我們認爲,較疲軟的標題數字可能會被一些積極的潛在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1692 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024
SEHK: 1692 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Town Ray Holdings' Earnings

將現金流與Town Ray Holdings的收益對比研究

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Town Ray Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.29. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$183m, well over the HK$122.2m it reported in profit. Town Ray Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,Town Ray Holdings的應計比率爲-0.29。這表明其自由現金流大大超過了其法定利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,該公司報告的自由現金流爲1.83億港元,遠遠超過其公佈的1.222億港元的利潤。Town Ray Holdings的自由現金流確實同比下降,這並不理想,就像辛普森沒有場地管理員威利的劇集一樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Town Ray Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Town Ray Holdings的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Town Ray Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對Town Ray Holdings的利潤表現的看法

Happily for shareholders, Town Ray Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Town Ray Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 24% per year over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Town Ray Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Town Ray Holdings you should be aware of.

令股東高興的是,Town Ray Holdings產生了充足的自由現金流來支持其法定利潤數字。正因爲如此,我們認爲Town Ray Holdings的基礎盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,在過去三年中,其每股收益以每年24%的速度增長。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解Town Ray Holdings,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的Town Ray Holdings的1個警告標誌。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Town Ray Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只研究了揭示Town Ray Holdings利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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