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Here's Why China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (HKG:308) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (HKG:308) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是爲什麼香港中旅國際投資有限公司(HKG: 308)可以負責任地管理其債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 19:01

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (HKG:308) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,香港中旅國際投資有限公司(HKG: 308)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Net Debt?

中旅國際投資香港的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 China Travel International Investment Hong Kong had debt of HK$2.38b, up from HK$1.43b in one year. However, it does have HK$3.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of HK$880.2m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月,中旅國際投資香港的債務爲23.8億港元,高於一年內的14.3億港元。但是,它確實有32.6億港元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲8.802億港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:308 Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
SEHK: 308 2024 年 4 月 26 日債務與股本的比率記錄

How Strong Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Balance Sheet?

中旅國際投資香港的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Travel International Investment Hong Kong had liabilities of HK$4.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$2.55b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$3.26b in cash and HK$521.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$2.98b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,香港中旅國際投資有限公司的負債爲42.1億港元,一年後到期的負債爲25.5億港元。與此相抵消的是,它有32.6億港元的現金和5.216億港元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出29.8億港元。

This deficit isn't so bad because China Travel International Investment Hong Kong is worth HK$6.98b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲香港中旅國際投資的市值爲69.8億港元,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但香港中旅國際投資的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of HK$582m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Travel International Investment Hong Kong can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣令人高興的是,儘管去年在息稅前利潤方面出現虧損,但香港中旅國際投資在過去12個月中扭轉了局面,實現了5.82億港元的息稅前利潤。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定香港中旅國際投資有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While China Travel International Investment Hong Kong has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last year, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管香港中旅國際投資有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。考慮到去年,香港中旅國際投資實際上總體上出現了現金流出。債務通常更昂貴,而且對於自由現金流爲負的公司來說,風險幾乎總是更大。股東們應該希望有所改善。

Summing Up

總結

While China Travel International Investment Hong Kong does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of HK$880.2m. So we are not troubled with China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's debt use. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in China Travel International Investment Hong Kong, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

儘管香港中旅國際投資的負債確實超過了流動資產,但其淨現金也爲8.802億港元。因此,我們對中旅國際投資香港的債務使用並不感到困擾。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對香港中旅國際投資感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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