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Why Starjoy Wellness and Travel's (HKG:3662) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Starjoy Wellness and Travel's (HKG:3662) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼 Starjoy Wellness and Travel(HKG: 3662)收入不穩定只是問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:49

Investors weren't pleased with the recent soft earnings report from Starjoy Wellness and Travel Company Limited (HKG:3662). We did some digging and believe that things are better than they seem due to some encouraging factors.

投資者對Starjoy Wellness and Travel Company Company Limited(HKG: 3662)最近的疲軟收益報告不滿意。我們進行了一些挖掘,並認爲由於一些令人鼓舞的因素,情況比看起來要好。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:3662 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 3662 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Starjoy Wellness and Travel's Earnings

將現金流與Starjoy Wellness and Travel的收入進行比較

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Starjoy Wellness and Travel recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥94m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥157.1m. Notably, Starjoy Wellness and Travel had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥94m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,Starjoy Wellness and Travel的應計比率爲0.23。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲9400萬元人民幣,大大低於其1.571億加元的利潤。值得注意的是,Starjoy Wellness and Travel去年的自由現金流爲負數,因此其今年的9400萬元人民幣是一個可喜的改善。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Starjoy Wellness and Travel.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Starjoy健康與旅行的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Starjoy Wellness and Travel's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥24m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Starjoy Wellness and Travel to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Starjoy Wellness and Travel的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了2400萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,我們預計Starjoy Wellness and Travel在其他條件相同的情況下,明年將產生更高的利潤。

Our Take On Starjoy Wellness and Travel's Profit Performance

我們對Starjoy 健康與旅行盈利表現的看法

Starjoy Wellness and Travel saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Starjoy Wellness and Travel's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Starjoy Wellness and Travel (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Starjoy Wellness and Travel看到不尋常的項目壓制了其利潤,這本來可以更容易地顯示出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比率,Starjoy Wellness and Travel沒有這樣做。基於這些因素,很難判斷Starjoy Wellness and Travel的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了 3 個 Starjoy Wellness and Travel 的警告信號(2 個不要坐得太好!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

Our examination of Starjoy Wellness and Travel has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對Starjoy Wellness and Travel的審查側重於某些可能使其收入看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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