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We Think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' (HKG:1184) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' (HKG:1184) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我們認爲 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings (HKG: 1184) 的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:04

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited (HKG:1184) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

儘管數據良好,但上週S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited(HKG: 1184)公佈的業績似乎令市場不知所措。我們進行了一些挖掘,我們認爲投資者在基礎數據中遺漏了一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1184 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 1184 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入記錄

A Closer Look At S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Earnings

仔細觀察 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings 的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$1.0b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$403.8m. S.A.S. Dragon Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的應計比率爲-0.24。因此,其法定收入大大低於其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲10億港元,遠遠超過其4.038億港元的法定利潤。毫無疑問,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的股東對自由現金流在過去十二個月中有所改善感到高興。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth HK$87m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect S.A.S. Dragon Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

在過去的十二個月中,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的利潤因價值8700萬港元的不尋常物品而減少,這有助於其實現高現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。這就是你所期望看到的公司的非現金費用會減少紙面利潤的情況。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,我們預計S.A.S. Dragon Holdings在其他條件相同的情況下,明年將實現更高的利潤。

Our Take On S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對S.A.S. Dragon Holdings盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, both S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for S.A.S. Dragon Holdings and you'll want to know about it.

總之,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的應計比率及其不尋常的項目都表明,其法定收益可能相當保守。基於這些因素,我們認爲S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。你可能會有興趣知道,我們發現了 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings 的 1 個警告標誌,你會想知道的。

After our examination into the nature of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在我們研究了S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的利潤性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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