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We Think Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲東方航空物流(SHSE: 601156)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:30

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601156) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,東方航空物流有限公司(SHSE: 601156)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Eastern Air Logistics Carry?

東方航空物流揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Eastern Air Logistics had CN¥2.34b of debt, up from CN¥557.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥9.24b in cash, so it actually has CN¥6.90b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,東方航空物流的債務爲23.4億元人民幣,高於去年同期的5.579億元人民幣。點擊圖片了解更多詳情。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有92.4億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有69.0億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601156 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SHSE: 601156 2024 年 4 月 24 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Eastern Air Logistics' Balance Sheet?

東方航空物流的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Eastern Air Logistics had liabilities of CN¥5.57b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥6.20b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.24b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.95b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥575.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,東方航空物流的負債爲557億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲62.0億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有92.4億元人民幣的現金以及價值19.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出5.752億元人民幣。

Having regard to Eastern Air Logistics' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥28.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Eastern Air Logistics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到東方航空物流的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡似乎良好。因此,這家289億元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。儘管負債巨大,但東方航空物流擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In fact Eastern Air Logistics's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Eastern Air Logistics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

實際上,東方航空物流的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了30%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定東方航空物流未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Eastern Air Logistics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Eastern Air Logistics recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 92% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管東方航空物流的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,東方航空物流記錄的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的92%,比我們通常預期的要強。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about Eastern Air Logistics's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥6.90b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥4.7b, being 92% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Eastern Air Logistics's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Eastern Air Logistics .

我們可以理解投資者是否擔心東方航空物流的負債,但它的淨現金爲690億元人民幣,這一事實可以使我們放心。它以47億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的92%。因此,我們對東方航空物流使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,您應該注意我們在東方航空物流中發現的 1 個警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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