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4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002900) Shareholders Over That Period

4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002900) Shareholders Over That Period

三年內4.1%的收益增長尚未轉化爲哈爾濱美迪森製藥(SZSE:002900)股東在此期間的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 20:13

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002900) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 34% in three years, versus a market decline of about 19%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 17%.

許多投資者將成功的投資定義爲長期超過市場平均水平。但是,如果你嘗試選股,你的風險回報低於市場。我們遺憾地報告,哈爾濱美迪生製藥有限公司(SZSE:002900)的長期股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了34%,而市場跌幅約爲19%。上週股價繼續下跌,下跌了約17%。

After losing 17% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上週下跌了17%之後,值得研究該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

哈爾濱美迪森製藥在過去五年中實現了盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。因此,值得研究其他指標來了解股價走勢。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Arguably the revenue decline of 7.1% per year has people thinking Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical is shrinking. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

1.0%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導該股的市場觀點。可以說,每年7.1%的收入下降使人們認爲哈爾濱美迪森製藥正在萎縮。畢竟,如果收入持續萎縮,將來可能很難找到收益增長。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002900 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002900 2024年4月24日收益和收入增長

If you are thinking of buying or selling Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出哈爾濱美迪桑製藥的股票,則應查看其資產負債表上的這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical's TSR for the last 3 years was -32%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,哈爾濱醫藥在過去三年的股東總回報率爲-32%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 11% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 15%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但哈爾濱醫藥的股東們可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的11%虧損沒有市場損失約15%那麼嚴重。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中3%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管羅斯柴爾德男爵確實告訴投資者 “街上有血時買入,即使血是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,以確定業務本身是健全的。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該了解我們在哈爾濱美地三藥業發現的3個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有點不舒服)。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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