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Is Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002190) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002190) Using Too Much Debt?

四川成飛集成科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002190)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 20:10

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sichuan Chengfei Integration Technology Corp.Ltd (SZSE:002190) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,四川成飛集成科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002190)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

四川成飛集成科技有限公司的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd had CN¥473.6m of debt, up from CN¥224.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥181.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥292.6m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,四川成飛集成科技有限公司的債務爲4.736億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.242億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它也有1.81億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲2.926億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002190 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002190 2024 年 4 月 24 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

看看四川成飛集成科技有限公司的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.37b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥466.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥181.0m in cash and CN¥1.10b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥550.2m.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,四川成飛集成科技有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲13.7億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲4.662億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有1.81億元的現金和11.0億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額5.502億元人民幣。

Given Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.62b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鑑於四川成飛集成科技有限公司的市值爲56.2億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.6 times last year. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. Shareholders should be aware that Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's EBIT was down 27% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

四川成飛集成科技有限公司的淨負債相當合理,爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的2.0倍,而去年其息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的6.6倍。這在很大程度上是由於該公司收取了巨額折舊和攤銷費用,這可以說意味着其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤是衡量收益的非常慷慨的指標,其債務可能比最初看起來更具負擔。股東應該意識到,四川成飛集成科技有限公司的息稅前利潤去年下降了27%。如果這種下降持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝更難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲四川成飛集成科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,四川成飛集成科技有限公司的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.

坦率地說,四川成飛集成科技有限公司將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其(不)增長息稅前利潤的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,它的利息保障是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。從資產負債表來看,考慮到所有這些因素,我們確實認爲債務使四川成飛集成科技有限公司的股票有點風險。這不一定是一件壞事,但我們通常會因爲降低槓桿率而感到更自在。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的四川成飛集成科技有限公司的1個警告信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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