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Guoguang Electric's (SZSE:002045) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Guoguang Electric's (SZSE:002045) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

國光電氣(深圳證券交易所:002045)的利潤可能不會顯示潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 20:33

The stock price didn't jump after Guoguang Electric Company Limited (SZSE:002045) posted decent earnings last week. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

國光電氣有限公司(SZSE:002045)上週公佈了不錯的收益後,股價沒有上漲。我們的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人擔憂的因素,投資者可能會謹慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002045 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002045 2024 年 4 月 23 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Guoguang Electric increased the number of shares on issue by 22% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Guoguang Electric's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

要了解公司收益增長的價值,必須考慮削弱股東的利益。實際上,國光電氣通過發行新股,在過去十二個月中將已發行股票數量增加了22%。結果,其淨收入現在分成了更多的股票。每股收益等每股指標可以幫助我們了解實際股東從公司的利潤中受益的程度,而淨收入水平則使我們能夠更好地了解公司的絕對規模。點擊此鏈接,查看國光電氣的歷史每股收益增長。

How Is Dilution Impacting Guoguang Electric's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀釋如何影響國光電氣的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Guoguang Electric has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 93% over three years. And the 103% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 96% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

如上所示,國光電氣在過去幾年中淨收入一直在增長,三年內年化收益爲93%。乍一看,去年103%的利潤增長無疑令人印象深刻。但相比之下,同期每股收益僅增長了96%。因此,稀釋對股東回報產生了顯著影響。

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Guoguang Electric can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

從長遠來看,收益 每股 增長應該帶來股價的增長。因此,如果國光電氣能夠持續增長每股收益,對股東來說肯定是積極的。但另一方面,得知利潤(但不是每股收益)在改善,我們就不那麼興奮了。出於這個原因,你可以說從長遠來看,每股收益比淨收入更重要,前提是目標是評估公司的股價是否可能上漲。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Guoguang Electric's net profit by CN¥33m over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

最後,我們還應該考慮這樣一個事實,即不尋常的項目使國光電氣的淨利潤比去年增加了3300萬元人民幣。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Guoguang Electric's Profit Performance

我們對國光電利潤表現的看法

To sum it all up, Guoguang Electric got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guoguang Electric's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Guoguang Electric at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Guoguang Electric and you'll want to know about this.

總而言之,國光電氣從不尋常的項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振;如果沒有這些,其法定結果就會變得更糟。最重要的是,稀釋意味着其每股收益表現不如其盈利表現。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼國光電氣的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮國光電氣目前面臨的風險同樣重要。你可能會有興趣知道,我們發現了國光電氣的1個警告標誌,你會想知道的。

Our examination of Guoguang Electric has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對國光電氣的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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