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FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking FuelCell Energy is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has FuelCell Energy Performed Recently?
FuelCell Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on FuelCell Energy.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like FuelCell Energy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 48% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 42% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 34% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that FuelCell Energy's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On FuelCell Energy's P/S
Even after such a strong price drop, FuelCell Energy's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look into FuelCell Energy shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for FuelCell Energy you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on FuelCell Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上個月,股價下跌了26%,這給一直在等待事情發生的FuelCell Energy, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:FCEL)的股東受到了打擊。對於任何長期股東來說,最後一個月的股價下跌幅度爲57%,從而結束了令人難忘的一年。
即使在價格大幅下跌之後,考慮到美國電氣行業將近一半公司的市盈率低於1.7倍,你仍然認爲FuelCell Energy是一隻值得避開的股票,其市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲3.9倍,這是可以原諒的。但是,市銷率可能很高是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。
FuelCell Energy 最近的表現如何?
FuelCell Energy可能會做得更好,因爲其收入最近一直在倒退,而大多數其他公司的收入卻出現了正增長。許多人可能預計,糟糕的收入表現將大幅恢復,這阻止了市銷率的暴跌。你真的希望如此,否則你會無緣無故地付出相當大的代價。
如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們關於FuelCell Energy的免費報告。收入預測與高市銷率相匹配嗎?
人們固有的假設是,如果像FuelCell Energy這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該遠遠超過該行業。
回顧過去,去年該公司的收入下降了24%,令人沮喪。儘管如此,儘管短期表現不令人滿意,但最近三年的總體收入仍增長了48%。儘管這是一個坎坷的旅程,但可以公平地說,最近的收入增長對公司來說已經足夠了。
展望來看,根據關注該公司的十位分析師的估計,未來三年將實現每年42%的增長。由於預計該行業每年的收入僅爲34%,該公司有望實現更強勁的收入業績。
有鑑於此,FuelCell Energy的市銷率高於其他多數公司是可以理解的。看來大多數投資者都在期待這種強勁的未來增長,並願意爲該股支付更多費用。
FuelCell Energy 市銷率的底線
即使在價格下跌如此強勁之後,FuelCell Energy的市銷率仍大大超過行業中位數。我們可以說,市銷比率的力量主要不是作爲一種估值工具,而是用來衡量當前的投資者情緒和未來預期。
我們對FuelCell Energy的調查表明,由於其未來收入強勁,其市銷率仍然很高。在現階段,投資者認爲收入惡化的可能性微乎其微,這證明市銷售率上升是合理的。除非分析師真的沒有達到目標,否則這些強勁的收入預測應該會保持股價的上漲。
那其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了你應該知道的3個FuelCell Energy警告信號。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對FuelCell Energy的看法,請瀏覽我們的高質量股票互動清單,了解還有什麼。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
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風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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