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Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

陝西華勤科技實業有限公司, Ltd. 剛剛錯過了收益——但分析師已經更新了他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 21:48

Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688281) just released its latest annual report and things are not looking great. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥917m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 28%, coming in at just CN¥2.41 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

陝西華勤科技實業有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:688281)剛剛發佈了最新的年度報告,但情況看起來並不樂觀。總體而言,這並不是一個好業績——儘管收入略低於分析師預期的9.17億元人民幣,但法定收益未達到預期的28%,每股收益僅爲2.41元人民幣。根據結果,分析師更新了他們的盈利模式,很高興知道他們是否認爲公司的前景發生了巨大變化,或者業務是否照舊。根據這些結果,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師是否改變了盈利模式。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688281 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 21st 2024
SHSE: 688281 2024 年 4 月 21 日收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's five analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.19b in 2024. This would reflect a huge 30% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 74% to CN¥4.20. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥1.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥4.21 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新業績,陝西華勤科技工業有限公司的五位分析師目前的共識是,2024年的收入爲11.9億元人民幣。這將反映其收入在過去12個月中大幅增長了30%。預計每股法定收益將增長74%,至4.20元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲12.1億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲4.21元人民幣。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期沒有重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥176. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥196 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥142. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

因此,得知共識目標股價基本保持不變爲176元人民幣也就不足爲奇了。研究分析師的估計範圍,評估異常值與平均值的差異程度也可能很有啓發性。最樂觀的陝西華勤科技工業有限公司分析師將目標股價定爲每股196元人民幣,而最悲觀的分析師則將其估值爲142元人民幣。這表明估值仍然存在一點差異,但分析師似乎對該股的看法並不完全分歧,好像這可能是成功或失敗一樣。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd'shistorical trends, as the 30% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 30% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 16% annually. So although Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是研究它們與過去的業績相比如何,以及同一行業中其他公司的表現。我們可以從最新的估計中推斷,預測預計陝西華勤科技工業有限公司的歷史趨勢將延續,因爲到2024年底的30%的年化收入增長與過去五年30%的年增長大致一致。相比之下,分析師估計(總計),整個行業的收入每年將增長16%。因此,儘管預計陝西華勤科技工業有限公司將保持其收入增長率,但其增長速度肯定會超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

要了解的最重要的一點是,市場情緒沒有重大變化,分析師再次確認該業務的表現與他們先前的每股收益預期一致。幸運的是,他們還再次確認了收入數字,表明收入符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。共識目標股價沒有實際變化,這表明該業務的內在價值與最新估計相比沒有發生任何重大變化。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲該業務的長期發展軌跡對於投資者來說更爲重要。多位陝西華勤科技工業有限公司分析師估計,到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費看到這些數據。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd that we have uncovered.

在你採取下一步行動之前,你應該了解一下我們發現的陝西華勤科技工業有限公司的1個警告標誌。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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