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Is WH Group (HKG:288) Using Too Much Debt?

Is WH Group (HKG:288) Using Too Much Debt?

萬洲國際集團(HKG: 288)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 20:46

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, WH Group Limited (HKG:288) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,萬洲國際集團有限公司(HKG: 288)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is WH Group's Debt?

WH 集團的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that WH Group had US$3.23b of debt in December 2023, down from US$3.37b, one year before. However, it also had US$1.71b in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.52b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示萬國集團在2023年12月的債務爲32.3億美元,低於一年前的33.7億美元。但是,它也有17.1億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲152億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:288 Debt to Equity History April 18th 2024
SEHK: 288 2024 年 4 月 18 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is WH Group's Balance Sheet?

萬洲國際集團的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WH Group had liabilities of US$4.66b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.95b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.71b as well as receivables valued at US$1.28b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,WH集團的負債爲46.6億美元,一年後到期的負債爲39.5億美元。除這些債務外,它有17.1億美元的現金以及價值12.8億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出56.2億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because WH Group is worth US$9.79b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲萬洲國際集團的市值爲97.9億美元,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.2 and interest cover of 5.3 times, it seems to us that WH Group is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, WH Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 65% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WH Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

從其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.2倍和利息覆蓋率的5.3倍來看,在我們看來,萬洲國際集團可能正在以相當合理的方式使用債務。因此,我們建議密切關注融資成本對業務的影響。重要的是,萬洲國際集團的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了驚人的65%。如果這種盈利趨勢繼續下去,那麼償還債務就像放貓坐過山車一樣容易。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定萬洲國際集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, WH Group recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,萬洲國際集團錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的66%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

WH Group's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think WH Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for WH Group that you should be aware of.

儘管我們考慮的其他因素使WH Group的息稅前利潤增長率明顯好轉,但根據該分析,WH Group的息稅前利潤增長率確實爲負數。但好的一面是,它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力一點也不差。綜合上述因素,我們確實認爲萬洲國際集團的債務對業務構成了一些風險。因此,儘管這種槓桿率確實提高了股本回報率,但我們真的不希望看到它從現在開始增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了WH集團的3個警告信號,您應該注意這些信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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