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Is Meitu (HKG:1357) A Risky Investment?

Is Meitu (HKG:1357) A Risky Investment?

美圖(HKG: 1357)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 18:14

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Meitu, Inc. (HKG:1357) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,美圖公司(HKG: 1357)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Meitu's Net Debt?

美圖的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Meitu had CN¥149.6m of debt, up from CN¥10.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.31b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.16b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,美圖的債務爲1.496億元人民幣,高於去年同期的1000萬元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有13.1億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有11.6億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1357 Debt to Equity History April 16th 2024
SEHK: 1357 2024 年 4 月 16 日債務與股本的比率記錄

A Look At Meitu's Liabilities

看看美圖的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that Meitu had liabilities of CN¥1.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥389.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.31b and CN¥387.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥48.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,美圖在一年內到期的負債爲12.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲3.891億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的13.1億元現金和價值3.877億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有4,870萬元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This state of affairs indicates that Meitu's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥13.5b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Meitu boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種狀況表明,美圖的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想象這家135億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,美圖擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Meitu turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥291m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Meitu's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣令人高興的是,儘管去年息稅前利潤額度出現虧損,但美圖在過去12個月中扭轉了局面,交付額和息稅前利潤爲2.91億元人民幣。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定美圖未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Meitu may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Meitu actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。美圖的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。去年,美圖產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Meitu has net cash of CN¥1.16b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 124% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥361m. So we don't think Meitu's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Meitu is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,美圖的淨現金爲11.6億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的124%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了3.61億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲美圖使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,美圖在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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