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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on CITIC Offshore Helicopter (SZSE:000099) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.8% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on CITIC Offshore Helicopter (SZSE:000099) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.8% Over the Past Week

由於過去一週股價下跌3.8%,三年的收益下降可能會給中信海上直升機(SZSE:000099)的股東造成損失
Simply Wall St ·  04/13 20:02

It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For instance the CITIC Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000099) share price is 116% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 68% gain in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

這可能看起來很糟糕,但是當你買入一隻股票(沒有槓桿作用)時可能發生的最糟糕的情況是它的股價變爲零。但是,如果你購買一家非常棒的公司的股票,你可以 更多 比你的錢翻一番。例如,中信海上直升機有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000099)的股價比三年前高出116%。對於那些持有股票的人來說真是太棒了!同樣令股東高興的是過去三個月的68%的漲幅。這可能與最近發佈的最新財務業績有關——您可以通過閱讀我們的公司報告來了解最新的數據。

Although CITIC Offshore Helicopter has shed CN¥465m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管中信海上直升機本週的市值下跌了4.65億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the three years of share price growth, CITIC Offshore Helicopter actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 5.0% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,中信海上直升機的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降5.0%。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,我們懷疑市場是否將每股收益作爲公司價值的主要判斷者。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

The modest 0.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It could be that the revenue growth of 7.6% per year is viewed as evidence that CITIC Offshore Helicopter is growing. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.

0.5%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。每年7.6%的收入增長可能被視爲中信海上直升機正在增長的證據。在這種情況下,公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長,也許股東對未來更美好時光的信心將得到回報。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000099 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 14th 2024
SZSE: 000099 2024 年 4 月 14 日收益和收入增長

We know that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on CITIC Offshore Helicopter

我們知道中信海上直升機公司最近提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對中信海上直升機形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CITIC Offshore Helicopter, it has a TSR of 122% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就中信海上直升機而言,其在過去三年的總股東回報率爲122%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 91% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CITIC Offshore Helicopter better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CITIC Offshore Helicopter that you should be aware of.

很高興看到中信海上直升機在過去十二個月中向股東提供了91%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這比五年來14%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中信海上直升機,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定了中信海上直升機的一個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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