share_log

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd's (SHSE:605009) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd's (SHSE:605009) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

杭州皓月個人護理有限公司(SHSE: 605009)的基本面看起來相當強勁:這隻股票會不會出錯?
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 21:01

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's (SHSE:605009) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.7% over the past week. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's ROE.

看了杭州皓月個人護理(SHSE: 605009)的近期表現,很難感到興奮,當時其股價在過去一週下跌了9.7%。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。在本文中,我們決定重點關注杭州皓月個人護理的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care is:

因此,根據上述公式,杭州皓月個人護理的投資回報率爲:

15% = CN¥471m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

15% = 4.71億元人民幣 ÷ 31億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.15 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。這意味着,公司每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,就會產生0.15元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

杭州皓月個人護理的收益增長和15%的投資回報率

At first glance, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.5%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,杭州皓月個人護理的投資回報率似乎不錯。尤其是與行業平均水平的11%相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。儘管如此,杭州皓月個人護理五年的淨收入增長還是相當低的,平均僅爲3.5%。對於一家回報率如此之高的公司來說,這有點出乎意料。我們認爲,回報率相當高的低增長可能是某些情況造成的,例如收益留存率低或資本配置不善。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現杭州皓月個人護理報告的增長低於過去幾年7.8%的行業增長,這不是我們希望看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605009 Past Earnings Growth April 13th 2024
SHSE: 605009 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 13 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 605009 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。605009 的估值是否合理?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

杭州皓月個人護理有效再投資其利潤嗎?

While Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管杭州皓月個人護理的三年派息率中位數不錯,爲37%(或63%的留存率),但其收益幾乎沒有增長。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 50% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,杭州皓月個人護理已經派發了三年股息,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是收益增長。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內升至50%。但是,儘管預期的派息率較高,但該公司的投資回報率預計不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們確實認爲杭州皓月個人護理具有一些積極的屬性。但是,低收益增長有點令人擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的回報率很高,並且正在將很大一部分利潤再投資。從表面上看,可能還有其他一些因素阻礙了增長,這些因素不一定是業務的控制。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益有望加速。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論