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These 4 Measures Indicate That Alliant Energy (NASDAQ:LNT) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alliant Energy (NASDAQ:LNT) Is Using Debt Extensively

這4項指標表明,Alliant Energy(納斯達克股票代碼:LNT)正在廣泛使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/11 14:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alliant Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:LNT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,Alliant Energy Corporation(納斯達克股票代碼:LNT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Alliant Energy's Debt?

Alliant Energy的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Alliant Energy had US$9.51b of debt, up from US$8.72b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,Alliant Energy的債務爲95.1億美元,高於去年同期的87.2億美元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。淨負債大致相同,因爲它沒有太多現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:LNT Debt to Equity History April 11th 2024
NASDAQGS: LNT 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 11 日

How Strong Is Alliant Energy's Balance Sheet?

Alliant Energy的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Alliant Energy had liabilities of US$2.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$62.0m and US$475.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$13.9b.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,Alliant Energy的負債爲23.0億美元,12個月以後到期的負債爲122億美元。另一方面,它有6,200萬美元的現金和價值4.75億美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額139億美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$12.8b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

當你考慮到這種缺陷超過了公司128億美元的巨額市值時,你很可能會傾向於專心審查資產負債表。假設,如果公司被迫通過以當前股價籌集資金來償還負債,則需要進行極大的稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Alliant Energy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Alliant Energy's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alliant Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由於息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的2.3倍,Alliant Energy的股東面臨着淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比率高(5.9)和利息覆蓋率相當薄弱的雙重打擊。這裏的債務負擔是沉重的。考慮到債務負擔,Alliant Energy的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中保持相當平穩並不理想。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Alliant Energy能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Alliant Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Alliant Energy消耗了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Alliant Energy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Alliant Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that Alliant Energy's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Alliant Energy (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

坦率地說,Alliant Energy的淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤及其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但至少其息稅前利潤增長率還不錯。還值得注意的是,Alliant Energy屬於電力公用事業行業,人們通常認爲該行業具有很強的防禦性。總體而言,在我們看來,Alliant Energy的資產負債表確實對業務構成了相當大的風險。因此,我們對這隻魚的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚池一樣警惕:正如他們所說,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向Alliant Energy發現了兩個警告信號(至少有一個不容忽視),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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