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These 4 Measures Indicate That Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

這4項衡量標準表明 Warrior Met Coal(紐約證券交易所代碼:HCC)的債務使用情況相當不錯
Simply Wall St ·  04/09 08:18

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,Warrior Met Coal, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:HCC)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Warrior Met Coal's Net Debt?

Warrior Met Coal 的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Warrior Met Coal had US$153.0m of debt in December 2023, down from US$302.6m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$747.2m in cash, leading to a US$594.2m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示勇士煤炭公司在2023年12月的債務爲1.530億美元,低於一年前的3.026億美元。但另一方面,它也有7.472億美元的現金,淨現金狀況爲5.942億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HCC Debt to Equity History April 9th 2024
紐約證券交易所:HCC 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 9 日

How Strong Is Warrior Met Coal's Balance Sheet?

Warrior Met Coal 的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Warrior Met Coal had liabilities of US$147.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$334.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$747.2m as well as receivables valued at US$110.4m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$375.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Warrior Met Coal的負債爲1.477億美元,一年後到期的負債爲3.349億美元。除這些債務外,它有7.472億美元的現金以及價值1.104億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出3.751億美元 負債。

This surplus suggests that Warrior Met Coal has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Warrior Met Coal has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明,Warrior Met Coal的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Warrior Met Coal的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Warrior Met Coal if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 33% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Warrior Met Coal can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止去年削減33%的息稅前利潤的做法,那麼其適度的債務負擔對Warrior Met Coal來說可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Warrior Met Coal能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Warrior Met Coal has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Warrior Met Coal produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管Warrior Met Coal的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,Warrior Met Coal產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的69%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Warrior Met Coal has US$594.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$209m, being 69% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Warrior Met Coal's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Warrior Met Coal that you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,Warrior Met Coal擁有5.942億美元的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它以2.09億美元的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的69%。因此,我們對Warrior Met Coal的債務使用並不感到困擾。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了 Warrior Met Coal 的兩個警告信號,你應該注意這兩個警示信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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