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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Equillium, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:EQ) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 28%
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Equillium, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:EQ) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 28%
The Equillium, Inc. (NASDAQ:EQ) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 163% in the last twelve months.
Following the heavy fall in price, Equillium may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.4x and even P/S higher than 70x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Equillium Performed Recently?
Equillium could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Equillium's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Equillium's Revenue Growth Trending?
Equillium's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 129% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 168% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Equillium's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Equillium's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Equillium's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Equillium (including 2 which are potentially serious).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Equillium, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:EQ)的股價在過去30天中大幅下跌了28%,收回了該股最近的大部分漲幅。當然,從長遠來看,許多人仍然希望自己擁有股票,因爲該股的價格在過去十二個月中飆升了163%。
在價格大幅下跌之後,Equillium目前可能發出了非常看漲的信號,其市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲1.9倍,因爲美國生物技術行業幾乎有一半的公司的市盈率大於13.4倍,甚至市銷率高於70倍也並不少見。但是,市銷率可能很低是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。
Equillium 最近的表現如何?
Equillium可能會做得更好,因爲它最近的收入增長幅度低於大多數其他公司。看來許多人預計平淡無奇的收入表現將持續下去,這抑制了市銷率的增長。如果是這樣的話,那麼現有股東可能很難對股價的未來走向感到興奮。
想了解分析師如何看待Equillium的未來與該行業的對立嗎?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。Equillium 的收入增長趨勢如何?
Equillium的市銷率對於一家預計增長非常糟糕甚至收入下降的公司來說是典型的,而且重要的是,其表現要比該行業差得多。
首先回顧一下,我們發現該公司去年的收入增長了令人印象深刻的129%。儘管如此,總收入與三年前相比幾乎沒有增長,這並不理想。因此,在我們看來,該公司的收入增長好壞參半。
展望未來,報道該公司的四位分析師的估計表明,收入增長將進入負值區間,未來三年每年下降4.5%。同時,預計整個行業每年將增長168%,這描繪了一幅糟糕的景象。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Equillium的市銷率與業內同行非常接近。但是,尚不能保證市銷率已達到最低水平,收入反向增長。如果公司不改善營收增長,市銷率有可能降至更低的水平。
最後一句話
Equillium的市銷率最近看起來與其股價一樣疲軟。僅使用市銷率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
由於收入預測低於該行業的其他部門,因此Equillium的市銷率處於較低水平也就不足爲奇了。在現階段,投資者認爲,收入改善的可能性不足以證明更高的市銷率是合理的。除非發生實質性變化,否則很難想象股價會急劇上漲。
另外,你還應該了解我們在Equillium中發現的這5個警告信號(包括2個可能嚴重的警告信號)。
重要的是要確保你尋找一家優秀的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。因此,如果盈利能力的增長與你對一家優秀公司的想法一致,那就來看看這份免費名單吧,列出了最近收益增長強勁(市盈率低)的有趣公司。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
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風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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