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Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's (HKG:3618) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 1.6% YoY Shareholder Returns

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's (HKG:3618) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 1.6% YoY Shareholder Returns

重慶農村商業銀行(HKG: 3618)的五年收益同比增長落後於1.6%的股東回報率
Simply Wall St ·  04/08 19:45

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:3618) share price has gained 11% in the last three months.

重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司(HKG: 3618)的股價在過去三個月中上漲了11%,這並不是一個令人興奮的舉動。

While the last five years has been tough for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對重慶農村商業銀行的股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.7% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,重慶農村商業銀行的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長0.7%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設五年前,市場對更高的增長抱有預期。看看其他指標可能會更好地解釋股價的變化。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。儘管股價下跌的原因尚不完全明顯,但仔細研究該公司的歷史可能有助於解釋這一點。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3618 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 8th 2024
SEHK: 3618 2024 年 4 月 8 日收益和收入增長

If you are thinking of buying or selling Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出重慶農村商業銀行的股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, it has a TSR of 8.1% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就重慶農村商業銀行而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲8.1%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 1.6% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

很高興看到重慶農村商業銀行在過去十二個月中向股東提供了31%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年1.6%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。考慮到這一點,下一個可靠的步驟可能是看看重慶農村商業銀行的分紅記錄。這個免費的交互式圖表是一個很好的起點。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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