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We Think You Can Look Beyond CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s (HKG:317) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s (HKG:317) Lackluster Earnings

我們認爲您可以將目光投向中國船舶與海洋工程(集團)(HKG: 317)乏善可陳的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/08 19:13

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) Company Limited's (HKG:317) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

儘管上週發佈了疲軟的收益報告,但中船海洋與海洋工程(集團)有限公司(HKG: 317)的股票表現強勁。我們認爲,除了收益數字外,投資者可能會考慮一些積極因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:317 Earnings and Revenue History April 8th 2024
SEHK: 317 2024 年 4 月 8 日的收益和收入記錄

A Closer Look At CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s Earnings

仔細研究CSSC海洋與海洋工程(集團)的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正的應計比率是負數。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往會降低”。

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) has an accrual ratio of -0.29 for the year to December 2023. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥2.8b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥48.1m. CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,中船海洋與海洋工程(集團)的應計比率爲-0.29。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。換句話說,它在此期間產生了28億元人民幣的自由現金流,與其報告的4,810萬元人民幣利潤相形見絀。毫無疑問,中船海洋工程(集團)的股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group).

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對CSSC海洋與海洋工程(集團)的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥45m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

令人驚訝的是,鑑於CSSC海洋與海洋工程(集團)的應計比率暗示着強勁的現金轉換率,其票面利潤實際上是由4500萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提高的。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

Our Take On CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s Profit Performance

我們對中船海洋與海洋工程(集團)盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think that CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)'s profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) you should be aware of.

總之,CSSC海洋與海洋工程(集團)的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤是由不尋常的項目提振的。基於這些因素,我們認爲中船海洋與海洋工程(集團)的利潤是衡量其基本盈利能力的相當保守的指南。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了CSSC海洋與海洋工程(集團)的2個警告信號,你應該注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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