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We Think Hengxin Technology's (HKG:1085) Solid Earnings Are Understated

We Think Hengxin Technology's (HKG:1085) Solid Earnings Are Understated

我們認爲恒信科技(HKG: 1085)的穩健收益被低估了
Simply Wall St ·  04/04 18:51

Despite posting healthy earnings, Hengxin Technology Ltd.'s (HKG:1085 ) stock has been quite weak. We have done some analysis, and found some encouraging factors that we believe the shareholders should consider.

儘管公佈了可觀的收益,但恒信科技有限公司's (HKG: 1085) 的股票一直相當疲軟。我們已經進行了一些分析,發現了一些令人鼓舞的因素,我們認爲股東應該考慮這些因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1085 Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024
SEHK: 1085 2024 年 4 月 4 日的收益和收入記錄

Zooming In On Hengxin Technology's Earnings

放大恒信科技的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間內的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Hengxin Technology recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥269m, well over the CN¥69.7m it reported in profit. Hengxin Technology's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,恒信科技的應計比率爲-0.11。這意味着它具有良好的現金轉化率,也意味着其去年的自由現金流穩步超過了利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲2.69億元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的利潤6,970萬元人民幣。去年,恒信科技的自由現金流實際上有所下降,這令人失望,就像不可生物降解的氣球一樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hengxin Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對恒信科技的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Hengxin Technology's Profit Performance

我們對恒信科技盈利表現的看法

Hengxin Technology's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Hengxin Technology's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 14% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Hengxin Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Hengxin Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

正如我們在上面討論的那樣,恒信科技的應計比率很穩定,表明自由現金流強勁。正因爲如此,我們認爲恒信科技的盈利潛力至少和看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,在過去三年中,其每股收益以每年14%的速度增長。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果您想進一步了解恒信科技作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。請注意,恒信科技在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hengxin Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解恒信科技利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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