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Viva Goods (HKG:933) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Viva Goods (HKG:933) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Viva Goods(HKG: 933)有債務但沒有收益;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 18:03

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Viva Goods Company Limited (HKG:933) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,Viva Goods Company Limited(HKG: 933)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Viva Goods's Net Debt?

Viva Goods 的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Viva Goods had debt of HK$187.2m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from HK$344.1m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$1.28b in cash, so it actually has HK$1.09b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,Viva Goods的債務爲1.872億港元,較上一年的3.441億港元有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有12.8億港元的現金,因此實際上擁有10.9億港元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:933 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
SEHK: 933 2024 年 3 月 29 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Viva Goods' Balance Sheet?

Viva Goods的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Viva Goods had liabilities of HK$3.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$1.86b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$1.28b in cash and HK$766.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.61b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Viva Goods在12個月內到期的負債爲38.0億港元,之後到期的負債爲18.6億港元。與此相抵消的是,它有12.8億港元的現金和7.668億港元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額36.1億港元。

Viva Goods has a market capitalization of HK$7.19b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Viva Goods boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Viva Goods will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Viva Goods的市值爲71.9億港元,因此,如果有需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。儘管負債值得關注,但Viva Goods擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Viva Goods需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Viva Goods wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 63%, to HK$11b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,Viva Goods在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了63%,達到110億港元。運氣好的話,該公司將能夠實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Viva Goods?

那麼 Viva 商品的風險有多大?

While Viva Goods lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow HK$79m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. The good news for Viva Goods shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. For riskier companies like Viva Goods I always like to keep an eye on whether insiders are buying or selling. So click here if you want to find out for yourself.

儘管Viva Goods的息稅前收益(EBIT)水平出現虧損,但它實際上創造了7900萬港元的正自由現金流。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。對Viva Goods股東來說,好消息是其收入增長強勁,因此在需要時更容易籌集資金。但這並不能改變我們對股票有風險的看法。對於像Viva Goods這樣的風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注內部人士是在買入還是賣出。因此,如果您想親自了解一下,請單擊此處。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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