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Is Diodes (NASDAQ:DIOD) A Risky Investment?

Is Diodes (NASDAQ:DIOD) A Risky Investment?

Diodes(納斯達克股票代碼:DIOD)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 08:07

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ:DIOD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,Diodes 公司(納斯達克股票代碼:DIOD)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Diodes's Debt?

二極管的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, Diodes had US$62.1m of debt at December 2023, down from US$185.4m a year prior. However, it does have US$325.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$263.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,Diodes的債務爲6,210萬美元,低於去年同期的1.854億美元。但是,它確實有3.256億美元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲2.635億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:DIOD Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
NASDAQGS: 2024 年 3 月 29 日 Diod 債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Diodes' Liabilities

看看二極管的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Diodes had liabilities of US$393.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$164.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$325.6m in cash and US$371.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$139.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Diodes的負債爲3.935億美元,一年後到期的負債爲1.645億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有3.256億美元的現金和3.719億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有1.396億美元 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Diodes has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Diodes has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明 Diodes 的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Diodes的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Diodes if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 38% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Diodes can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理層無法阻止去年將息稅前利潤削減38%的情形重演,那麼適度的債務負擔對Diodes來說可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Diodes能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Diodes has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Diodes recorded free cash flow worth 55% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管Diodes的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,Diodes記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的55%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Diodes has US$263.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Diodes's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Diodes (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,Diodes的淨現金爲2.635億美元,資產負債表看起來不錯。因此,我們對Diodes的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該了解我們在 Diodes 中發現的 2 個警告信號(包括 1 個不容忽視的警告信號)。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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