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Is Jiangsu Linyang Energy (SHSE:601222) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jiangsu Linyang Energy (SHSE:601222) Using Too Much Debt?

江蘇林陽能源(上海證券交易所代碼:601222)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 19:49

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Linyang Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601222) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,江蘇林洋能源有限公司(SHSE: 601222)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jiangsu Linyang Energy's Net Debt?

江蘇林陽能源的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Jiangsu Linyang Energy had CN¥3.03b of debt, up from CN¥2.75b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥6.08b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.05b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,江蘇林洋能源的債務爲30.3億元人民幣,高於去年同期的27.5億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但另一方面,它也有60.8億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲30.5億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601222 Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024
SHSE: 601222 2024 年 3 月 27 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Jiangsu Linyang Energy's Liabilities

看看江蘇林陽能源的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jiangsu Linyang Energy had liabilities of CN¥5.16b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.69b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.08b and CN¥4.62b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥2.86b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,江蘇林洋能源的負債爲51.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲26.9億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲60.8億元人民幣,還有價值46.2億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有286億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

It's good to see that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高興看到江蘇林洋能源的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。鑑於它很容易獲得足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲其貸款機構不會有任何問題。簡而言之,江蘇林洋能源的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

And we also note warmly that Jiangsu Linyang Energy grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Linyang Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我們還熱烈地注意到,江蘇林洋能源去年的息稅前利潤增長了11%,使其債務負擔更易於處理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定江蘇林洋能源能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Jiangsu Linyang Energy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Jiangsu Linyang Energy actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管江蘇林陽能源的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。考慮到過去三年,江蘇林洋能源實際上總體上記錄了現金流出。對於自由現金流不可靠的公司來說,債務風險要大得多,因此股東應該希望過去的支出能夠在未來產生自由現金流。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has net cash of CN¥3.05b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 11% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with Jiangsu Linyang Energy's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Linyang Energy that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,江蘇林陽能源的淨現金爲30.5億元人民幣,流動資產也比負債多。最重要的是,它在過去十二個月中將息稅前利潤增長了11%。因此,我們對江蘇林洋能源使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了江蘇林洋能源的1個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,您應該注意這一點。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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