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Investing in Wuliangye YibinLtd (SZSE:000858) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 75% Gain

Investing in Wuliangye YibinLtd (SZSE:000858) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 75% Gain

五年前投資五糧液易賓有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000858)將爲您帶來75%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 02:46

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000858) share price is up 62% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market decline of around 1.3% (ignoring dividends).

當我們投資時,我們通常是在尋找表現超過市場平均水平的股票。而且,儘管主動選股涉及風險(並且需要分散投資),但它也可以提供超額回報。例如,五糧液宜賓有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所代碼:000858)股價在過去5年中上漲了62%,明顯超過了市場1.3%左右的跌幅(不計股息)。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

讓我們來看看長期的基本面,看看它們是否與股東的回報一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Wuliangye YibinLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 10% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

在五年的股價增長中,五糧液YibinLtd實現了每年19%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長高於股價10%的平均年增長率。因此,如今市場似乎對該股並不那麼熱情。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000858 Earnings Per Share Growth March 27th 2024
SZSE: 000858 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 27 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Wuliangye YibinLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。查看這張五糧液YibinLtd收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Wuliangye YibinLtd, it has a TSR of 75% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就五糧液YibinLtd而言,其在過去5年的股東回報率爲75%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Wuliangye YibinLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 17% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 12%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Is Wuliangye YibinLtd cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約13%,但五糧液YibinLtd股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了17%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們將在五年內每年賺取12%的收入。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。與其他公司相比,五糧液YibinLtd便宜嗎?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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