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We Think Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd (SHSE:600389) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd (SHSE:600389) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲南通江山農化股份有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600389)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 23:13

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600389) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到南通江山農化有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600389)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd Carry?

南通江山農化有限公司揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd had CN¥807.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥635.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.44b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.63b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,南通江山農化有限公司在一年內有8.076億元人民幣的債務,比6.35億加元人民幣增加了6.35億加元。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有24.4億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有16.3億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600389 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024
SHSE: 600389 2024 年 3 月 26 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's Balance Sheet?

南通江山農化化工有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥907.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.44b as well as receivables valued at CN¥321.5m due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,南通江山農化股份有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲18.3億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲9.075億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有24.4億元人民幣的現金以及價值3.215億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其總負債與其短期流動資產幾乎完全匹配。

Having regard to Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.80b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到南通江山農化有限公司的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡似乎良好。因此,儘管很難想象這家580億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,南通江山農化有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 81% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理層無法阻止去年再次削減81%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔對南通江山農化股份有限公司來說可能變得至關重要。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定南通江山農化有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。南通江山農化股份有限公司資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但仍然值得關注的是該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,南通江山農化股份有限公司的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的86%,比我們通常預期的要強。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd has CN¥1.63b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥517m, being 86% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,南通江山農化有限公司擁有16.3億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它以5.17億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的86%。因此,我們對南通江山農化有限公司的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,南通江山農化有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,你應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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