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Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

威富高科技集團(SZSE: 000581)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 22:03

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000581) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,威富高科技集團有限公司(SZSE: 000581)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Weifu High-Technology Group Carry?

威富高科技集團揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Weifu High-Technology Group had CN¥1.74b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥4.14b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.81b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.07b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,威富高科技集團的債務爲17.4億元人民幣,低於去年同期的41.4億元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有48.1億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有30.7億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000581 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024
SZSE: 000581 2024 年 3 月 26 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

威富高科技集團的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Weifu High-Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥7.01b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥905.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.81b in cash and CN¥6.43b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.32b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,威富高科技集團的負債爲70.1億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲9.055億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有48.1億元的現金和64.3億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出33.2億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Weifu High-Technology Group is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Weifu High-Technology Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weifu High-Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種盈餘表明威富高科技集團正在以看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。鑑於它很容易擁有足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲其貸款機構不會有任何問題。簡而言之,威富高科技集團的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定威富高科技集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Weifu High-Technology Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 2.5%, to CN¥11b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

去年,威富高科技集團在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但成功將其收入增長了2.5%,達到110億元人民幣。就我們的口味而言,這種增長速度有點慢,但要創造一個世界需要所有類型。

So How Risky Is Weifu High-Technology Group?

那麼威富高科技集團的風險有多大?

Although Weifu High-Technology Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥174m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Weifu High-Technology Group that you should be aware of.

儘管威富高科技集團在過去十二個月中出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但其法定利潤爲1.74億元人民幣。因此,從面值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲短期內風險不大。由於去年的收入增長平平,我們認爲投資機會並不特別引人注目。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲威富高科技集團確定了兩個警告信號,你應該注意這些信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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