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We Think China Lilang's (HKG:1234) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think China Lilang's (HKG:1234) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我們認爲中國利郎(HKG: 1234)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 18:27

Investors signalled that they were pleased with China Lilang Limited's (HKG:1234) most recent earnings report. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

投資者表示,他們對中國利郎有限公司(HKG: 1234)的最新收益報告感到滿意。從總體利潤來看,市場反應的這種反應是可以理解的,我們發現了一些進一步的令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1234 Earnings and Revenue History March 25th 2024
SEHK: 1234 2024 年 3 月 25 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against China Lilang's Earnings

根據中國利郎的收益研究現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

China Lilang has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥967m, well over the CN¥530.4m it reported in profit. China Lilang shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2023年12月的一年中,中國利郎的應計比率爲-0.12。因此,其法定收入遠遠低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲9.67億元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的利潤5.304億元人民幣。毫無疑問,中國利郎股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On China Lilang's Profit Performance

我們對中國利郎盈利表現的看法

China Lilang's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think China Lilang's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 18% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into China Lilang, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for China Lilang and we think they deserve your attention.

如上所述,中國利郎的應計比率穩健,表明自由現金流強勁。正因爲如此,我們認爲中國利郎的盈利潛力至少和看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,其每股收益在去年增長了18%。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解中國利郎,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。在Simply Wall St,我們發現了中國利郎的1個警告標誌,我們認爲它們值得你關注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Lilang's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只研究了揭示中國利郎利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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