share_log

Kingwisoft Technology Group Company Limited (HKG:8295) Soars 36% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Kingwisoft Technology Group Company Limited (HKG:8295) Soars 36% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

金智軟科技集團有限公司(HKG: 8295)飆升36%,但這是一個風險與回報的故事
Simply Wall St ·  03/24 20:07

Kingwisoft Technology Group Company Limited (HKG:8295) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone.    But the last month did very little to improve the 58% share price decline over the last year.  

金威軟科技集團有限公司(HKG: 8295)股價延續了近期的勢頭,僅上個月就上漲了36%。但是上個月幾乎沒有改善去年股價下跌58%的局面。

Even after such a large jump in price, Kingwisoft Technology Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual.   Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.  

即使在價格大幅上漲之後,Kingwisoft Technology Group目前仍可能發出非常看漲的信號,其市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲0.2倍,因爲香港資本市場行業幾乎有一半公司的市盈率超過2.5倍,甚至市盈率高於10倍也並不罕見。但是,我們需要更深入地挖掘,以確定大幅降低市銷率是否有合理的基礎。

SEHK:8295 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 25th 2024

SEHK: 8295 2024 年 3 月 25 日與行業的股價銷售比率

What Does Kingwisoft Technology Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

金智軟科技集團最近的表現如何?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kingwisoft Technology Group has been doing very well.   It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio.  If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.    

近來收入增長異常強勁,金威軟科技集團一直表現良好。許多人可能預計強勁的收入表現將大幅下降,這抑制了市銷率。如果你喜歡這家公司,你希望情況並非如此,這樣你就有可能在它失寵的時候買入一些股票。

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kingwisoft Technology Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.  

儘管沒有分析師對Kingwisoft Technology Group的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何積累的。

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kingwisoft Technology Group?  

預計金威軟科技集團的收入會增長嗎?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kingwisoft Technology Group's to be considered reasonable.  

人們固有的假設是,如果像金威軟科技集團這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該遠遠低於該行業。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 45% gain to the company's top line.   This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years.  So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.  

回顧過去,去年的公司收入實現了45%的驚人增長。這種出色的表現意味着它在過去三年中還能夠實現巨大的收入增長。因此,我們可以首先確認該公司在這段時間內在增加收入方面做得非常出色。

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 32% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

將最近的中期收入軌跡與該行業32%的年度增長預測進行比較,可以看出該行業明顯更具吸引力。

In light of this, it's peculiar that Kingwisoft Technology Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies.  Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.  

有鑑於此,奇怪的是,金威軟科技集團的市銷率低於其他多數公司。顯然,一些股東認爲最近的表現已經超過了極限,並且一直在接受大幅降低的銷售價格。

The Bottom Line On Kingwisoft Technology Group's P/S

金威軟科技集團市銷率的底線

Shares in Kingwisoft Technology Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued.      Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

金威軟科技集團的股價已大幅上漲,但其市銷率仍處於低迷狀態。通常,我們傾向於限制使用市銷率來確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法。

We're very surprised to see Kingwisoft Technology Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast.  When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio.  At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.    

我們非常驚訝地看到,金威軟科技集團目前的市銷率遠低於預期,因爲其最近三年的增長高於整個行業的預期。當我們看到強勁的收入增長超過該行業時,我們認爲公司的未來業績存在明顯的潛在風險,這給市銷率帶來了下行壓力。如果最近的中期收入趨勢持續下去,至少價格風險看起來很低,但投資者似乎認爲未來的收入可能會出現很大的波動。

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Kingwisoft Technology Group (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.  

始終有必要考慮永遠存在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經向Kingwisoft Technology Group發現了兩個警告信號(至少一個可能很嚴重),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kingwisoft Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對Kingwisoft Technology Group的看法,請瀏覽我們的互動式高質量股票清單,了解還有什麼。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論