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Baozun Inc. (NASDAQ:BZUN) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$3.92 Price Target

Baozun Inc. (NASDAQ:BZUN) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$3.92 Price Target

寶尊公司(納斯達克股票代碼:BZUN)剛剛公佈了報告,分析師設定的目標股價爲3.92美元
Simply Wall St ·  03/24 08:12

It's been a mediocre week for Baozun Inc. (NASDAQ:BZUN) shareholders, with the stock dropping 19% to US$2.30 in the week since its latest annual results. Revenues came in at CN¥8.8b, in line with expectations, while statutory losses per share were substantially higher than expected, at CN¥4.68 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

對於寶尊公司(納斯達克股票代碼:BZUN)的股東來說,這是平庸的一週,自發布最新年度業績以來,該股在本週內下跌了19%,至2.30美元。收入爲88億元人民幣,符合預期,而每股法定虧損則大大高於預期,爲每股4.68元人民幣。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。考慮到這一點,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的預期。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:BZUN Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2024
納斯達克股票代碼:BZUN收益和收入增長 2024年3月24日

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering Baozun are now predicting revenues of CN¥9.22b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a reasonable 4.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 63% to CN¥1.70. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of CN¥9.52b and CN¥0.071 per share in losses. While this year's revenue estimates dropped there was also a considerable increase to loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.

根據最新業績,報道寶尊的十位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲92.2億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這將反映出與過去12個月相比收入的合理增長了4.6%。預計虧損將大幅下降,萎縮63%,至1.70元人民幣。在這份最新報告之前,共識一直預計收入爲95.2億元人民幣,每股虧損爲0.071元人民幣。儘管今年的收入預期有所下降,但每股虧損的預期也大幅上升,這表明共識對該股的看法好壞參半。

The consensus price target fell 7.1% to US$3.92, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Baozun at US$6.83 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$2.59. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

共識目標股價下跌7.1%,至3.92美元,在收入和收益前景疲軟之後,分析師顯然對該公司感到擔憂。研究分析師的估計範圍,評估異常值與平均值的差異也可能很有啓發性。目前,最看漲的分析師對寶尊的估值爲每股6.83美元,而最看跌的分析師估值爲2.59美元。儘管如此,由於估計範圍如此之窄,這表明分析師對他們認爲該公司的價值有了很好的了解。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Baozun's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 4.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 7.1% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 10% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Baozun.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。很明顯,預計寶尊的收入增長將大幅放緩,預計到2024年底的收入按年計算將增長4.6%。相比之下,過去五年的歷史增長率爲7.1%。將其與業內其他公司(根據分析師的預測)進行比較,後者的總體收入預計每年將增長10%。因此,很明顯,儘管收入增長預計將放緩,但整個行業的增長速度預計也將超過寶尊。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

要記住的最重要的一點是,分析師提高了對明年的每股虧損預期。不幸的是,他們還下調了收入預期,我們的數據顯示,與整個行業相比,表現不佳。即便如此,每股收益對業務的內在價值更爲重要。此外,分析師還下調了目標價格,這表明最新消息使人們對該業務的內在價值更加悲觀。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Baozun analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。來自多位寶尊分析師的估計,預計將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Baozun you should know about.

那風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們發現了兩個你應該知道的寶尊警告標誌。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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