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Investors More Bullish on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) This Week as Stock Lifts 5.2%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) This Week as Stock Lifts 5.2%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

儘管過去五年收益呈下降趨勢,但由於股價上漲了5.2%,本週投資者更加看好阿波羅商業房地產金融(紐約證券交易所代碼:ARI)
Simply Wall St ·  03/22 10:07

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI), since the last five years saw the share price fall 37%.

對於許多人來說,投資的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對阿波羅商業房地產金融公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:ARI)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了37%。

While the last five years has been tough for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對阿波羅商業房地產金融股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 28% each year. The share price decline of 9% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

在股價下跌的五年中,阿波羅商業房地產金融的每股收益(EPS)每年下降28%。股價每年下跌9%,沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。股價反應相對平淡,可能是因爲市場預計業務將好轉。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ARI Earnings Per Share Growth March 22nd 2024
紐約證券交易所:ARI 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 22 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東能否賺錢要重要得多。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance the TSR over the last 5 years was 13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,對於阿波羅商業房地產金融而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲13%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 48% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

很高興看到阿波羅商業房地產金融的股東去年獲得了48%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即2%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在阿波羅商業房地產金融中發現的4個警告信號(包括一個不容忽視的信號)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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