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Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Dragon Mining (HKG:1712)

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Dragon Mining (HKG:1712)

令人印象深刻的收益可能無法說明龍礦業的全部情況(HKG: 1712)
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 19:13

Unsurprisingly, Dragon Mining Limited's (HKG:1712) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

毫不奇怪,龍礦業有限公司(HKG: 1712)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1712 Earnings and Revenue History March 21st 2024
SEHK: 1712 2024 年 3 月 21 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Dragon Mining's Earnings

仔細觀察 Dragon Mining 的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

For the year to December 2023, Dragon Mining had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of AU$10m, well over the AU$5.19m it reported in profit. Dragon Mining's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,Dragon Mining的應計比率爲-0.11。因此,其法定收入遠遠低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲1000萬澳元,遠遠超過其公佈的519萬澳元的利潤。去年,Dragon Mining的自由現金流有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Dragon Mining.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對龍礦業的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Surprisingly, given Dragon Mining's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by AU$7.8m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Dragon Mining had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於Dragon Mining的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由780萬澳元的不尋常項目增加的。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。截至2023年12月,龍礦業從不尋常的物品中獲得了相當大的利潤。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。

Our Take On Dragon Mining's Profit Performance

我們對龍礦業盈利表現的看法

Dragon Mining's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Dragon Mining's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. If you want to do dive deeper into Dragon Mining, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Dragon Mining you should be aware of.

不尋常的項目提振了Dragon Mining的利潤,這表明這些利潤可能無法持續下去,但其應計比率仍然顯示出穩健的現金轉換,這令人鼓舞。基於這些因素,我們認爲Dragon Mining的法定利潤不太可能使其看起來比現在弱得多。如果你想更深入地研究 Dragon Mining,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了 2 個 Dragon Mining 警告信號,你應該注意了。

Our examination of Dragon Mining has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對Dragon Mining的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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