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Is Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002150) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002150) Using Too Much Debt?

江蘇通潤設備科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002150)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 00:38

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002150) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,江蘇通潤設備科技股份有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002150)使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先將現金和債務水平放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd Carry?

江蘇通潤裝備科技有限公司揹負多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥347.2m, up from CN¥21.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥922.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥575.4m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的債務爲3.472億元人民幣,高於一年的210萬元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有9.225億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有5.754億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002150 Debt to Equity History March 15th 2024
SZSE: 002150 2024 年 3 月 15 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

江蘇通潤裝備科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.91b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥165.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥922.5m and CN¥812.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥341.1m.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的負債爲19.1億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲1.654億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲9.225億元人民幣,還有價值8.128億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額3.41億元人民幣。

Given Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.68b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

鑑於江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的市值爲56.8億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 46% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

實際上,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了46%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。從最近三年來看,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的30%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd has CN¥575.4m in net cash. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的淨現金爲5.754億元人民幣。因此,我們對江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司的債務使用並不感到困擾。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,江蘇通潤設備科技有限公司有3個警告標誌(其中一個不太適合我們),我們認爲你應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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