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Shareholders in Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) Have Lost 56%, as Stock Drops 15% This Past Week

Shareholders in Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) Have Lost 56%, as Stock Drops 15% This Past Week

諾德斯特龍(紐約證券交易所代碼:JWN)的股東下跌了56%,上週股價下跌了15%
Simply Wall St ·  03/13 08:49

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 60% decline in the share price in that time. On top of that, the share price is down 15% in the last week.

如果你喜歡投資股票,你一定會買入一些輸家。但是,諾德斯特龍公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:JWN)的長期股東在過去三年中表現不佳。不幸的是,在那段時間內,他們的股價一直下跌了60%。最重要的是,上週股價下跌了15%。

Since Nordstrom has shed US$503m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於Nordstrom在過去7天內已將其價值減少了5.03億美元,因此讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Nordstrom moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在五年的股價增長中,諾德斯特龍從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。因此,值得研究其他指標來了解股價走勢。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. It's good to see that Nordstrom has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我們注意到,股息似乎足夠健康,因此這可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因。很高興看到諾德斯特龍在過去三年中增加了收入。但是我們不清楚爲什麼股價下跌。可能值得深入研究基本面,以免機會流失。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:JWN Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
紐約證券交易所:JWN收益和收入增長 2024年3月13日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Nordstrom, it has a TSR of -56% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就諾德斯特龍而言,在過去3年的股東回報率爲-56%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Nordstrom provided a TSR of 13% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 9% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Nordstrom is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

在過去的十二個月中,諾德斯特龍的股東回報率爲13%。但這低於市場平均水平。但至少這還是個好處!在過去的五年中,股東總回報率在五年內每年下降9%。因此,這可能表明該企業已經扭轉了命運。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,請注意,諾德斯特龍在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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