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Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine (SHSE:600616) Using Debt Sensibly?

Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine (SHSE:600616) Using Debt Sensibly?

上海金豐酒業(SHSE: 600616)是否明智地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/11 20:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Company Limited (SHSE:600616) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,上海金豐酒業有限公司(SHSE: 600616)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's Debt?

上海金豐酒業的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had CN¥38.8m of debt, up from CN¥31.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥892.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥853.7m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,上海金豐酒業的債務爲3,880萬元人民幣,高於去年同期的3170萬元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它確實有8.925億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲8.537億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600616 Debt to Equity History March 12th 2024
SHSE: 600616 2024 年 3 月 12 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's Balance Sheet?

上海金豐酒業的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had liabilities of CN¥223.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥67.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥892.5m in cash and CN¥87.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥689.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,上海金豐酒業在12個月內到期的負債爲2.231億元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲6,780萬元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有8.925億元的現金和8,770萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有6.892億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

It's good to see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

很高興看到上海金豐酒業的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,上海金豐酒業的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是上海金豐酒業的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 7.1%, to CN¥606m. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,上海金豐酒業在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了7.1%,至6.06億元人民幣。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine?

那麼上海金豐酒業的風險有多大?

While Shanghai Jinfeng Wine lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥140m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管上海金豐酒業在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上出現虧損,但其實際賬面利潤爲1.4億元人民幣。因此,從面值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲短期內風險不大。鑑於收入增長乏善可陳,一旦息稅前利潤爲正,我們將對該股感到更加滿意。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,上海金豐酒業有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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