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Health Check: How Prudently Does 3Peak (SHSE:688536) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does 3Peak (SHSE:688536) Use Debt?

健康檢查:3Peak(SHSE: 688536)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/09 20:27

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies 3Peak Incorporated (SHSE:688536) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,3Peak Incorporated(上海證券交易所代碼:688536)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is 3Peak's Debt?

什麼是 3Peak 的債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 3Peak had debt of CN¥53.9m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.63b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.57b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,3Peak的債務爲5,390萬元人民幣,高於一年的無債務。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有26.3億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有25.7億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688536 Debt to Equity History March 10th 2024
SHSE: 688536 2024 年 3 月 10 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

A Look At 3Peak's Liabilities

看看 3Peak 的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that 3Peak had liabilities of CN¥236.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥34.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.63b and CN¥168.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥2.52b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,3Peak的負債爲2.369億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲3,490萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲26.3億元人民幣,還有價值1.689億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出25.2億元人民幣 負債。

It's good to see that 3Peak has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, 3Peak boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if 3Peak can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

很高興看到3Peak的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。鑑於它很容易擁有足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲其貸款機構不會有任何問題。簡而言之,3Peak擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定3Peak能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, 3Peak made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.1b, which is a fall of 39%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去的12個月中,3Peak在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至11億元人民幣,下降了39%。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

So How Risky Is 3Peak?

那麼 3Peak 的風險有多大?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year 3Peak had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥278m and booked a CN¥35m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥2.57b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with 3Peak , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們毫不懷疑,總的來說,虧損公司比盈利的公司風險更大。說實話,去年3Peak出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負2.78億元人民幣,會計虧損爲3500萬元人民幣。鑑於其淨現金僅爲25.7億元人民幣,如果不能很快達到收支平衡,該公司可能需要籌集更多資金。儘管其資產負債表看起來足夠流動,但如果一家公司不定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們有點緊張。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經確定了3Peak的1個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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