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Is Xinlun New Materials (SZSE:002341) Using Debt Sensibly?

Is Xinlun New Materials (SZSE:002341) Using Debt Sensibly?

信倫新材(深圳證券交易所:002341)是否明智地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 19:41

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Xinlun New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002341) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,新綸新材料有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002341)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它取代了對一家能夠以高回報率進行再投資的公司的攤薄時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Xinlun New Materials's Net Debt?

新綸新材的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Xinlun New Materials had CN¥2.25b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥2.46b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示新綸新材料在2023年9月有22.5億元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的24.6億元人民幣。而且它沒有太多現金,因此其淨負債大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002341 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024
SZSE: 002341 2024 年 3 月 7 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Xinlun New Materials' Balance Sheet?

新綸新材的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xinlun New Materials had liabilities of CN¥3.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥696.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥17.3m in cash and CN¥620.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.13b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,新綸新材料的負債爲30.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲6.966億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有1730萬元的現金和6.201億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額31.3億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.70b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Xinlun New Materials' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xinlun New Materials will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相對於其370億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注新倫新材料的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲新綸新材料需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Xinlun New Materials had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to CN¥719m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,新綸新材在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了25%,至7.19億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Xinlun New Materials's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥719m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥1.4b into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xinlun New Materials .

儘管新綸新材收入的下降像溼毯一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。其息稅前利潤虧損高達7.19億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。如果它將過去十二個月的14億元人民幣的虧損轉化爲利潤,我們會感覺更好。因此,坦率地說,我們確實認爲這是有風險的。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在新綸新材料上發現的1個警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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