Dook Media Group Limited (SZSE:301025) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Dook Media Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Media industry have P/S ratios below 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Dook Media Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dook Media Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dook Media Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Dook Media Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dook Media Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 15% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dook Media Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Dook Media Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Dook Media Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Dook Media Group you should be aware of, and 3 of them are potentially serious.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dook Media Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Dook Media Group Limited(深圳證券交易所代碼:301025)的股東們無疑很高興地看到,股價在上個月反彈了26%,儘管它仍在努力彌補最近的失地。不幸的是,上個月的漲幅幾乎沒有彌補去年的虧損,在此期間,該股仍下跌了24%。
由於Dook Media Group的價格飆升,考慮到中國媒體行業中將近一半的公司的市銷率低於2.6倍,你認爲Dook Media Group是一隻值得避開的股票,其市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲7.3倍,這是可以原諒的。但是,僅按面值計算市銷率是不明智的,因爲可以解釋其爲何如此之高。
Dook Media Group 最近的表現如何?
例如,假設Dook Media Group最近由於收入下降而財務表現不佳。一種可能性是市銷率居高不下,因爲投資者認爲公司在不久的將來仍將做足以跑贏整個行業。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性感到非常擔憂。
儘管沒有分析師對Dook Media Group的估計,但看看這個免費的數據豐富的可視化工具,看看該公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何積累的。
Dook Media Group 的收入增長趨勢如何?
人們固有的假設是,如果像Dook Media Group這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該遠遠超過該行業。