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Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) Using Too Much Debt?

唐人神集團(深圳證券交易所:002567)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 20:12

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Tangrenshen Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002567) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,唐人神集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002567)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼債務就會任由他們擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Tangrenshen Group's Debt?

唐人神集團的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Tangrenshen Group had debt of CN¥7.68b, up from CN¥6.14b in one year. However, it does have CN¥2.96b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥4.72b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,唐人神集團的債務爲76.8億元人民幣,高於一年內的61.4億元人民幣。但是,它確實有29.6億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲47.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002567 Debt to Equity History March 6th 2024
SZSE: 002567 債券與股本比率記錄 2024 年 3 月 6 日

How Healthy Is Tangrenshen Group's Balance Sheet?

唐人神集團的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tangrenshen Group had liabilities of CN¥6.27b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.08b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.96b in cash and CN¥594.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥8.80b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,唐仁申集團的負債爲62.7億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲60.8億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有29.6億元人民幣的現金和5.943億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出88.0億元人民幣。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥8.48b, we think shareholders really should watch Tangrenshen Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tangrenshen Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

鑑於這一赤字實際上高於公司市值84.8億元人民幣,我們認爲股東確實應該關注唐仁申集團的債務水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣。假設,如果公司被迫通過按當前股價籌集資金來償還負債,則需要進行極其嚴重的稀釋。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定唐人神集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Tangrenshen Group reported revenue of CN¥29b, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去的12個月中,唐人神集團公佈的收入爲290億元人民幣,增長了19%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Tangrenshen Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥535m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.3b over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tangrenshen Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

在過去的十二個月中,唐人申集團出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲5.35億元人民幣。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們還對公司感到緊張。它需要迅速改善其運營,我們才會對此感興趣。尤其是因爲它在過去十二個月中的自由現金流爲負13億元人民幣。這意味着它站在危險的一面。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了唐人神集團的 2 個警告標誌(1 個不容忽視!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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