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Shenzhen SED Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000032) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 3 19:53

Those holding Shenzhen SED Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000032) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Shenzhen SED Industry as an attractive investment with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000032 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

What Does Shenzhen SED Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shenzhen SED Industry has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen SED Industry.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen SED Industry's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.1% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 72% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 10.0% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen SED Industry's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Shenzhen SED Industry's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen SED Industry's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen SED Industry (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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