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Earnings Update: UniQure N.V. (NASDAQ:QURE) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

Earnings Update: UniQure N.V. (NASDAQ:QURE) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

最新業績:UniQure N.V.(納斯達克股票代碼:QURE)剛剛公佈業績,分析師正在下調預測
Simply Wall St ·  03/03 07:02

It's been a mediocre week for uniQure N.V. (NASDAQ:QURE) shareholders, with the stock dropping 12% to US$5.59 in the week since its latest full-year results. Revenues were a bright spot, with US$16m in revenue arriving 4.8% ahead of expectations, although statutory earnings didn't fare nearly so well, recording a loss of US$6.59, some 3.1% below consensus predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

對於UniQure N.V.(納斯達克股票代碼:QURE)的股東來說,這是平庸的一週,自公佈最新的全年業績以來,該股本週下跌了12%,至5.59美元。收入是一個亮點,1600萬美元的收入比預期高出4.8%,儘管法定收益表現不佳,虧損6.59美元,比市場普遍預期低約3.1%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:QURE Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2024
納斯達克GS:QURE 收益和收入增長 2024 年 3 月 3 日

After the latest results, the 14 analysts covering uniQure are now predicting revenues of US$58.0m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a substantial 266% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 33% to US$4.31. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$64.3m and US$4.04 per share in losses. Overall it looks as though the analysts are negative in this update. Although revenue forecasts held steady, the consensus also made a moderate increase in to its losses per share forecasts.

根據最新業績,負責Uniqure的14位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲5,800萬美元。如果得到滿足,這將反映出收入與過去12個月相比大幅增長了266%。預計每股虧損將在不久的將來大幅減少,縮小33%,至4.31美元。在這份最新報告之前,共識一直預計收入爲6,430萬美元,每股虧損4.04美元。總體而言,分析師似乎對本次更新持負面看法。儘管收入預測保持穩定,但共識也略微提高了每股虧損的預期。

The consensus price target fell 25% to US$22.62, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic uniQure analyst has a price target of US$37.48 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$7.01. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

共識目標股價下跌25%,至22.62美元,在收入和盈利前景疲軟之後,分析師顯然對該公司感到擔憂。但是,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標股價時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。最樂觀的UniQure分析師將目標股價定爲每股37.48美元,而最悲觀的分析師則將其估值爲7.01美元。由於目標股價範圍如此之廣,幾乎可以肯定,分析師押注基礎業務的業績差異很大。因此,根據共識目標股價做出決策可能不是一個好主意,畢竟共識目標價只是如此廣泛的估計值的平均值。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting uniQure's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 266% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 26% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect uniQure to grow faster than the wider industry.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。分析師們無疑預計UniQure的增長將加速,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲266%,而過去五年的歷史年增長率爲26%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年18%的速度增長。顯而易見,儘管增長前景比最近更加光明,但分析師也預計 Uniqure 的增長速度將超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of uniQure's future valuation.

要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師提高了明年的每股虧損預期。遺憾的是,他們還下調了收入預期,但最新的預測仍然表明該業務的增長速度將快於整個行業。共識目標股價大幅下降,分析師似乎沒有對最新結果感到放心,這導致對Uniqure未來估值的估計降低。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for uniQure going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對UniQure到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for uniQure that we have uncovered.

在你採取下一步行動之前,你應該了解我們發現的Uniqure的兩個警告信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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