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Has White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

有懷特山脈保險集團有限公司。”s(紐約證券交易所代碼:WTM)令人印象深刻的股票表現與其基本面有關嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/02 09:46

Most readers would already be aware that White Mountains Insurance Group's (NYSE:WTM) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to White Mountains Insurance Group's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,懷特山保險集團(紐約證券交易所代碼:WTM)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了14%。正如大多數人所知道的那樣,基本面通常是指導市場價格長期走勢的因素,因此我們今天決定研究公司的關鍵財務指標,以確定它們在近期的價格走勢中是否可以發揮任何作用。特別是,我們今天將關注懷特山保險集團的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for White Mountains Insurance Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,懷特山保險集團的投資回報率爲:

13% = US$581m ÷ US$4.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

13% = 5.81億美元 ÷ 46億美元(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.13.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1美元,公司就會產生0.13美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

White Mountains Insurance Group's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

懷特山保險集團的收益增長和13%的投資回報率

To start with, White Mountains Insurance Group's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. As you might expect, the 8.3% net income decline reported by White Mountains Insurance Group is a bit of a surprise. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,懷特山保險集團的投資回報率似乎可以接受。即使與行業平均水平的13%相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當不錯。正如你所預料的那樣,懷特山保險集團報告的8.3%的淨收入下降有點令人驚訝。基於此,我們認爲可能還有其他原因本文迄今尚未討論過,這些原因可能會阻礙公司的發展。例如,可能是該公司的派息率很高,或者企業的資本配置不當。

However, when we compared White Mountains Insurance Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將懷特山保險集團的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了8.0%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:WTM Past Earnings Growth March 2nd 2024
紐約證券交易所:WTM過去的收益增長 2024年3月2日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if White Mountains Insurance Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查懷特山保險集團相對於其行業的市盈率是高還是低。

Is White Mountains Insurance Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

懷特山保險集團是否在有效利用其利潤?

White Mountains Insurance Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 0.4% (or a retention ratio of 100%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

懷特山保險集團在過去三年中低的三年派息率中位數爲0.4%(或100%的留存率),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經萎縮。當公司保留大部分收益時,通常不應出現這種情況。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

In addition, White Mountains Insurance Group has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,懷特山保險集團至少十年來一直在支付股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,繼續支付股息對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that White Mountains Insurance Group has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business.

總的來說,我們確實認爲懷特山保險集團有一些積極的屬性。但是,儘管投資回報率和再投資率很高,但我們仍然對收益缺乏增長感到失望。我們認爲,可能會有一些外部因素對業務產生負面影響。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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