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Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology (SZSE:002376) A Risky Investment?

Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology (SZSE:002376) A Risky Investment?

山東新北洋信息科技(SZSE:002376)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 02:49

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002376) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,山東新北洋信息技術有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002376)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's Net Debt?

山東新北洋信息科技的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had CN¥1.28b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.75b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥638.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥636.3m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,山東新北洋信息科技的債務爲12.8億元人民幣,低於去年同期的17.5億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有6.388億元的現金,淨負債約爲6.363億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002376 Debt to Equity History February 28th 2024
SZSE: 002376 2024 年 2 月 28 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's Balance Sheet?

山東新北洋信息科技的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥891.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥638.8m in cash and CN¥779.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥572.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,山東新北洋信息科技在12個月內到期的負債爲11.0億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲8.915億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有6.388億元的現金和7.792億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額爲5.723億元人民幣,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

Of course, Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.09b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

當然,山東新北洋信息科技的市值爲40.9億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲山東新北洋信息技術需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥2.2b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,山東新北洋信息技術在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了11%,至22億元人民幣。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥55m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥45m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

在過去的十二個月中,山東新北洋信息科技不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲5500萬元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。例如,我們不希望看到去年4,500萬元人民幣的虧損重演。同時,我們認爲該股風險很大。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,山東新北洋信息科技有 2 個警示標誌(其中一個很重要),我們認爲你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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