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Is KSEC Intelligent Technology (SZSE:301311) Using Too Much Debt?

Is KSEC Intelligent Technology (SZSE:301311) Using Too Much Debt?

KSEC Intelligent Technology(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:301311)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  02/22 17:02

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that KSEC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301311) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,KSEC智能科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:301311)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is KSEC Intelligent Technology's Debt?

KSEC智能科技的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, KSEC Intelligent Technology had CN¥400.0m of debt, up from CN¥310.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥618.4m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥218.4m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,KSEC智能科技的債務爲4億元人民幣,高於去年同期的3.103億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但它也有6.184億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲2.184億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301311 Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2024
SZSE: 301311 2024 年 2 月 22 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is KSEC Intelligent Technology's Balance Sheet?

KSEC智能科技的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, KSEC Intelligent Technology had liabilities of CN¥2.13b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥478.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥618.4m and CN¥1.73b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥258.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,KSEC智能科技的負債爲21.3億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲4.788億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲6.184億元人民幣,還有價值17.3億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出2.589億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded KSEC Intelligent Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥4.88b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, KSEC Intelligent Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由於公開交易的KSEC智能科技股票總價值爲4.88億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。儘管KSEC Intelligent Technology確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact KSEC Intelligent Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 54% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since KSEC Intelligent Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

實際上,KSEC智能科技的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了54%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲KSEC Intelligent Technology需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. KSEC Intelligent Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, KSEC Intelligent Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。KSEC Intelligent Technology的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,KSEC智能科技總共出現了可觀的負自由現金流。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that KSEC Intelligent Technology has CN¥218.4m in net cash. So while KSEC Intelligent Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for KSEC Intelligent Technology (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,KSEC智能科技擁有2.184億元人民幣的淨現金。因此,儘管KSEC智能科技的資產負債表不佳,但肯定還不錯。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有,我們發現了 KSEC 智能技術的 2 個警告標誌(其中 1 個有點不愉快!)你應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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