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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869)?

股價下跌和基本面穩健:綠城服務集團公司的市場錯了嗎有限公司 (HKG: 2869)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/16 17:36

With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Greentown Service Group's ROE today.

綠城服務集團(HKG: 2869)的股票在過去三個月中下跌了11%,很容易被忽視。但是,仔細觀察其良好的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常會推動長期市場業績,該公司值得關注。特別是,我們今天將關注綠城服務集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Greentown Service Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,綠城服務集團的投資回報率爲:

8.6% = CN¥698m ÷ CN¥8.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

8.6% = 6.98億元人民幣 ÷ 81億元人民幣(基於截至2023年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.09 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每獲得價值1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.09港元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Greentown Service Group's Earnings Growth And 8.6% ROE

綠城服務集團的收益增長和8.6%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Greentown Service Group's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.1% which we definitely can't overlook. This probably goes some way in explaining Greentown Service Group's moderate 8.0% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

從表面上看,綠城服務集團的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。儘管一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率高於行業平均水平的6.1%,但我們絕對不能忽視。除其他因素外,這可能在某種程度上解釋了綠城服務集團在過去五年中8.0%的溫和增長。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實適度低。只是行業的投資回報率較低。因此,收益的增長也可能是其他因素的結果。例如,該公司的派息率較低,或者可能屬於高增長行業。

As a next step, we compared Greentown Service Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 2.6%.

下一步,我們將綠城服務集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於行業平均增長2.6%。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2869 Past Earnings Growth February 16th 2024
SEHK: 2869 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 16 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Greentown Service Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。與其他公司相比,綠城服務集團的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Greentown Service Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

綠城服務集團是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 46% (implying that the company retains 54% of its profits), it seems that Greentown Service Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

綠城服務集團的三年派息率中位數爲46%(這意味着該公司保留了54%的利潤),看來綠城服務集團正在進行有效的再投資,其收益將實現可觀的增長,並支付可觀的股息。

Moreover, Greentown Service Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of seven years of paying a dividend. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 49%. Still, forecasts suggest that Greentown Service Group's future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,綠城服務集團決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其七年支付股息的長期歷史中推斷出來的。根據分析師的最新估計,我們發現該公司未來三年的派息率預計將穩定在49%。儘管如此,預測表明,綠城服務集團未來的投資回報率將升至13%,儘管該公司的派息率預計不會有太大變化。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Greentown Service Group's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲綠城服務集團的表現相當不錯。具體而言,我們喜歡它一直在以適度的回報率再投資其很大一部分利潤,從而實現了收益的擴張。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增強。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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