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Is Compass (NYSE:COMP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Compass (NYSE:COMP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

康帕思(紐約證券交易所代碼:COMP)是否以危險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  02/13 11:47

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Compass, Inc. (NYSE:COMP) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,康帕思公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:COMP)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Compass Carry?

康帕斯揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Compass had US$27.9m of debt in September 2023, down from US$36.5m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$220.0m in cash, so it actually has US$192.1m net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示康帕思在2023年9月有2790萬美元的債務,低於一年前的3650萬美元。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有2.20億美元的現金,因此實際上擁有1.921億美元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:COMP Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024
紐約證券交易所:COMP 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 2 月 13 日

A Look At Compass' Liabilities

看看康帕斯的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Compass had liabilities of US$337.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$448.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$220.0m and US$75.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$490.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,康帕思的負債爲3.376億美元,一年後到期的負債爲4.486億美元。另一方面,它有2.20億美元的現金和價值7,530萬美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出4.909億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Compass is worth US$1.84b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Compass boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Compass can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲Compass的價值爲18.4億美元,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。儘管負債值得關注,但Compass擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Compass能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

In the last year Compass had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to US$4.9b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,康帕思在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際上將其收入減少了25%,至49億美元。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is Compass?

那麼 Compass 有多危險?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Compass had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$127m of cash and made a loss of US$396m. However, it has net cash of US$192.1m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Compass you should know about.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。說實話,去年康帕斯出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒燬了1.27億美元的現金,損失了3.96億美元。但是,它的淨現金爲1.921億美元,因此在需要更多資金之前還有一段時間。總而言之,我們對這個有點懷疑,因爲在沒有自由現金流的情況下,這似乎相當危險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了 3 個你應該知道的 Compass 警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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