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The Three-year Loss for Sino Biopharmaceutical (HKG:1177) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Three-year Loss for Sino Biopharmaceutical (HKG:1177) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

中國生物製藥(HKG: 1177)股東的三年虧損可能是其收益萎縮所致
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 18:07

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited (HKG:1177) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 62% drop in the share price over that period. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 35% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 20% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

如果你喜歡投資股票,你一定會買入一些輸家。但是,在過去三年中,中國生物製藥有限公司(HKG: 1177)的長期股東表現不佳。遺憾的是,在此期間,他們不得不應對股價下跌62%的局面。而且在過去的一年裏,行程並沒有變得更加順利,同期價格下降了35%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了20%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。

While the stock has risen 4.7% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了4.7%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years that the share price fell, Sino Biopharmaceutical's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.1% each year. The share price decline of 27% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

在股價下跌的三年中,中國生物製藥的每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.1%。股價下跌27%實際上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市場失望,使投資者對買入猶豫不決。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1177 Earnings Per Share Growth February 12th 2024
香港交易所:1177 年每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 12 日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Sino Biopharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們認爲,內部人士在去年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。查看這張中藥收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Sino Biopharmaceutical's TSR for the last 3 years was -59%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,中國生物製藥在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-59%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Sino Biopharmaceutical shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sino Biopharmaceutical better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Sino Biopharmaceutical .

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約16%,但中生物製藥股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了34%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中6%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解中藥製藥,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,你應該注意我們在中國生物製藥中發現的1個警告信號。

Sino Biopharmaceutical is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

中國生物製藥並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。因此,看看這份免費的內幕收購成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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