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Health Check: How Prudently Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Use Debt?

健康檢查:永輝超市(SHSE: 601933)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 21:38

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yonghui Superstores Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601933) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,永輝超市有限公司(SHSE: 601933)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Yonghui Superstores Carry?

永輝超市揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yonghui Superstores had debt of CN¥6.98b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥10.5b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥7.53b in cash, so it actually has CN¥543.7m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,永輝超市的債務爲69.8億元人民幣,較一年內的105億元人民幣有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有75.3億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有5.437億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601933 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2024
SHSE: 601933 2024 年 2 月 6 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Yonghui Superstores' Balance Sheet?

永輝超市的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yonghui Superstores had liabilities of CN¥25.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥22.0b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.53b and CN¥2.35b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥37.4b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,永輝超市的負債爲253億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲220億元人民幣。另一方面,它有75.3億加元的現金和價值23.5億加元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額374億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥20.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Yonghui Superstores would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Yonghui Superstores boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yonghui Superstores's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家204億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果債權人要求還款,永輝超市可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。永輝超市擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,即使確實有非常巨額的負債,它的總債務負擔也並不沉重。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定永輝超市未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, Yonghui Superstores made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥81b, which is a fall of 12%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的12個月中,永輝超市在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至810億元人民幣,下降了12%。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Yonghui Superstores?

那麼永輝超市的風險有多大?

While Yonghui Superstores lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥4.9b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. For riskier companies like Yonghui Superstores I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

儘管永輝超市的息稅前收益(EBIT)水平出現虧損,但它實際上創造了49億元人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。鑑於未來收入(和現金流)缺乏透明度,我們對此感到緊張,直到它首次實現大筆銷售。對我們來說,這是一場高風險的遊戲。對於像永輝超市這樣的風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們的利潤、收入和運營現金流的交互式圖表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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