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Is Tatwah SmartechLtd (SZSE:002512) A Risky Investment?

Is Tatwah SmartechLtd (SZSE:002512) A Risky Investment?

Tatwah SmartechLtd(深圳證券交易所:002512)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 21:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Tatwah Smartech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002512) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,Tatwah Smartech Co., Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002512)使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地很好地管理債務,而且有利於自己的利益。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Tatwah SmartechLtd's Net Debt?

Tatwah SmartechLtd 的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Tatwah SmartechLtd had debt of CN¥731.5m, up from CN¥565.8m in one year. However, it also had CN¥179.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥551.9m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,Tatwah SmartechLtd的債務爲7.315億加元,高於一年內的5.658億元人民幣。但是,它也有1.796億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲5.519億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002512 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2024
SZSE: 002512 2024 年 2 月 6 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Tatwah SmartechLtd's Liabilities

看看 Tatwah SmartechLtd 的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tatwah SmartechLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.16b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥945.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥179.6m and CN¥696.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.23b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Tatwah SmartechLtd的負債爲21.6億元人民幣,其後到期的負債爲9.457億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的1.796億元現金和價值6.967億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出22.3億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tatwah SmartechLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥3.74b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tatwah SmartechLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲Tatwah SmartechLtd的市值爲37.4億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Tatwah SmartechLtd需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Tatwah SmartechLtd reported revenue of CN¥2.0b, which is a gain of 35%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

在過去的12個月中,Tatwah SmartechLtd公佈的收入爲20億元人民幣,增長了35%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。運氣好的話,該公司將能夠實現盈利。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Tatwah SmartechLtd's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥50m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥1.5b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tatwah SmartechLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管我們當然可以理解Tatwah SmartechLTD的收入增長,但其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損並不理想。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了5000萬元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負15億元人民幣。因此,只要說我們認爲這隻股票風險很高就足夠了。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向Tatwah SmartechLtd確定了兩個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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