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Investing in General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 78% Gain

Investing in General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 78% Gain

三年前投資通用動力(紐約證券交易所代碼:GD)將爲您帶來78%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 08:12

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. Just take a look at General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD), which is up 66%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 11% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 17% , including dividends .

通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報率可能會超過平均市場回報。看看通用動力公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:GD),該公司在三年內上漲了66%,遠遠超過了11%的市場回報率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼好,股東僅增長了17%,包括股息。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During three years of share price growth, General Dynamics achieved compound earnings per share growth of 3.2% per year. In comparison, the 18% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

在三年的股價增長中,通用動力實現了每年3.2%的複合每股收益增長。相比之下,股價每年18%的漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。這表明,隨着業務在過去幾年中的發展,它贏得了市場參與者的信心。在經歷了幾年的穩步進展之後,投資者對企業着迷是很常見的。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:GD Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
紐約證券交易所:GD 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 5 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on General Dynamics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。可能值得一看我們關於通用動力收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for General Dynamics the TSR over the last 3 years was 78%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,通用動力過去3年的股東總回報率爲78%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

General Dynamics provided a TSR of 17% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 12% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of General Dynamics by clicking this link.

通用動力在過去十二個月中提供的股東總回報率爲17%。但這低於市場平均水平。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年12%的平均年回報率。這可能表明該公司在推行其戰略時正在贏得新投資者的青睞。喜歡賺錢的投資者通常會查看內幕收購,例如支付的價格和購買的總金額。您可以通過點擊此鏈接了解通用動力公司的內幕收購。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

還有很多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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