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Shanghai DZH (SHSE:601519) Pulls Back 14% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Splendid 15% CAGR Over 5 Years

Shanghai DZH (SHSE:601519) Pulls Back 14% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Splendid 15% CAGR Over 5 Years

上海 DZH(上海證券交易所代碼:601519)本週回落了14%,但在5年內仍爲股東帶來了驚人的15%的複合年增長率
Simply Wall St ·  02/04 21:14

The Shanghai DZH Limited (SHSE:601519) share price has had a bad week, falling 14%. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 104% in that time. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.

上海DZH有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:601519)股價表現不佳,下跌了14%。但與之形成鮮明對比的是,過去五年的回報給人留下了深刻的印象。事實上,當時股價上漲了令人印象深刻的104%。對某些人來說,在如此快速的上漲之後,最近的回調並不奇怪。最終,業務表現將決定股價是否延續長期的積極趨勢。

Although Shanghai DZH has shed CN¥2.3b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管上海 DZH 本週的市值下跌了 23億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the last half decade, Shanghai DZH became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. In fact, the Shanghai DZH stock price is 12% lower in the last three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 28% each year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -4% per year.

在過去的五年中,上海DZH實現了盈利。有時,盈利能力的開始是一個重要的轉折點,這可能預示着收益的快速增長,這反過來又證明了股價的強勁上漲是合理的。由於該公司在五年前(而不是三年前)無利可圖,因此過去三年的回報也值得一看。實際上,上海DZH的股價在過去三年中下跌了12%。同期,每股收益每年增長28%。因此,每股收益的正增長與股價的變化(每年下跌-4%)之間似乎存在不匹配之處。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601519 Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
SHSE: 601519 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 5 日

This free interactive report on Shanghai DZH's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於上海DZH收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Shanghai DZH shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 6.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 26%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 15%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai DZH you should know about.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但上海DZH的股東可以放心,他們過去十二個月的6.2%的虧損沒有26%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺15%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通往更光明未來之旅中的一個暫時階段。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了一個你應該知道的上海 DZH 警告標誌。

Of course Shanghai DZH may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,上海 DZH 可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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